Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 51.0%). Look for McBain on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs McBain 50.9% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 62.6%
Defensive zone
Coyle 65.9%
Neutral zone
McBain 52.1%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Coyle
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Coyle
McBain
Last 6: Coyle 1-5 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
0
1
Coyle
McBain
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
0
1
Coyle
McBain
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
1
3
Coyle
McBain
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (853)
52.5% (569)
-0.2%
Power Play
44.4% (63)
42.1% (19)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (191)
36.2% (47)
+8.3%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Coyle is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Coyle shoots right. McBain is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (261).
Home / Away
Coyle
McBain
Home
49.0% (567)
52.4% (309)
Away
52.0% (540)
49.7% (326)
By Period
Coyle
McBain
P1
49.5%
54.0%
P2
49.4%
52.7%
P3
52.6%
46.5%
OT
46.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 03:24 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 08:43 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 02:47 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |