Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs McBain 46.7% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
McBain leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
McBain 59.7%
Defensive zone
McBain 64.7%
Neutral zone
McBain 63.9%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 63.2%
36.8%
63.2%
Coyle
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Coyle
McBain
Last 10: Coyle 3-7 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
2
Coyle
McBain
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Coyle
McBain
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
1
5
Coyle
McBain
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,898)
48.1% (2,322)
+1.3%
Power Play
50.0% (794)
44.6% (56)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,100)
35.6% (309)
+7.9%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Coyle is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,015).
Coyle shoots right. McBain is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (995).
Home / Away
Coyle
McBain
Home
49.8% (4,865)
49.1% (1,379)
Away
47.9% (4,927)
44.0% (1,308)
By Period
Coyle
McBain
P1
49.5%
47.1%
P2
48.3%
47.4%
P3
48.8%
45.4%
OT
49.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
48.5%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
48.8%
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 03:24 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 08:43 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 02:47 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 09:17 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 03:13 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 09:15 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 1 | 09:47 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 12:49 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 04:02 | Offensive | Jack McBain |