Charlie Coyle vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Coyle wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 51.5% vs Pageau 55.0% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 70.7%
Defensive zone
Coyle 64.0%
Neutral zone
Coyle 67.6%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 66.4%
66.4%
33.6%
Coyle
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Coyle
Pageau
Last 6: Coyle 1-5 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
2
Coyle
Pageau
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
3
Coyle
Pageau
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,046)
57.1% (905)
-4.1%
Power Play
57.6% (144)
55.2% (116)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (287)
48.0% (204)
-4.4%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Coyle is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Coyle shoots right. Pageau is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Home / Away
Coyle
Pageau
Home
54.5% (719)
57.0% (618)
Away
48.8% (758)
53.9% (607)
By Period
Coyle
Pageau
P1
51.1%
54.4%
P2
50.0%
61.0%
P3
53.3%
51.0%
OT
57.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
51.6%
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 03:22 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 3 | 09:19 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 2 | 11:10 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |