Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Toews 60.4% (-11.1%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 54.0%
Defensive zone
Coyle 86.1%
Neutral zone
Coyle 75.5%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 70.5%
70.5%
29.5%
Coyle
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Coyle
Toews
Last 10: Coyle 3-7 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
4
Coyle
Toews
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
3
Coyle
Toews
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Coyle
Toews
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (853)
62.6% (728)
-10.3%
Power Play
44.4% (63)
59.4% (143)
-15.0%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (191)
46.9% (32)
-2.4%
On power play, Toews has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Coyle is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Coyle shoots right. Toews is 71.3% vs right-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Coyle
Toews
Home
49.0% (567)
61.1% (455)
Away
52.0% (540)
62.1% (448)
By Period
Coyle
Toews
P1
49.5%
59.7%
P2
49.4%
66.7%
P3
52.6%
58.4%
OT
46.2%
80.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
61.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 15:24 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 03:22 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:24 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:20 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 14:50 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 03:36 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 18:27 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 16:39 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 01:37 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:18 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |