Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 49.9%). Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Norris 49.9% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 68.4%
Defensive zone
Coyle 74.9%
Neutral zone
Coyle 54.2%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 69.7%
69.7%
30.3%
Coyle
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Coyle
Norris
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
0
Coyle
Norris
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Norris
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (853)
50.5% (388)
+1.8%
Power Play
44.4% (63)
47.6% (84)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (191)
42.9% (7)
+1.6%
On power play, Norris has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Coyle is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Coyle shoots right. Norris is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (157).
Home / Away
Coyle
Norris
Home
49.0% (567)
48.1% (233)
Away
52.0% (540)
51.6% (246)
By Period
Coyle
Norris
P1
49.5%
53.1%
P2
49.4%
49.2%
P3
52.6%
48.4%
OT
46.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 10:36 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 07:43 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 08:35 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 04:15 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |