Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kunin on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Kunin 46.1% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 50.2%
Defensive zone
Kunin 55.6%
Neutral zone
Coyle 50.0%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Coyle
Kunin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Coyle
Kunin
Last 9: Coyle 4-5 Kunin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Kunin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
1
2
Coyle
Kunin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Coyle
Kunin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Kunin
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,898)
47.0% (1,667)
+2.4%
Power Play
50.0% (794)
46.0% (139)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,100)
40.3% (335)
+3.2%
On power play, Coyle has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kunin shoots right. Coyle is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,777).
Coyle shoots right. Kunin is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Coyle
Kunin
Home
49.8% (4,865)
45.4% (1,075)
Away
47.9% (4,927)
46.4% (1,066)
By Period
Coyle
Kunin
P1
49.5%
47.7%
P2
48.3%
45.7%
P3
48.8%
44.1%
OT
49.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
48.8%
Kunin
44.0%▼
49.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 12:18 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 17:05 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 09:17 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 18:06 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 11:42 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 19:24 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 23, 2019 | OT | 02:10 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 3 | 18:05 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |