Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Jankowski 53.1% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 84.5%
Defensive zone
Coyle 52.5%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 63.4%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Coyle
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Coyle
Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
1
Coyle
Jankowski
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
Jankowski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Jankowski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (853)
53.7% (555)
-1.4%
Power Play
44.4% (63)
50.0% (14)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (191)
54.3% (46)
-9.8%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Coyle is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Coyle shoots right. Jankowski is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (236).
Home / Away
Coyle
Jankowski
Home
49.0% (567)
53.2% (331)
Away
52.0% (540)
54.2% (284)
By Period
Coyle
Jankowski
P1
49.5%
52.7%
P2
49.4%
55.8%
P3
52.6%
52.5%
Final 5 min
49.1%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 13:38 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 04:08 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 01:41 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 11:45 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |