Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Duchene 51.8% (-1.7%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 78.7%
Defensive zone
Coyle 74.6%
Neutral zone
Coyle 57.3%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Coyle
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (853)
51.1% (366)
+1.2%
Power Play
44.4% (63)
61.5% (65)
-17.1%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (191)
16.7% (6)
+27.8%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Coyle is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Coyle shoots right. Duchene is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (165).
Home / Away
Coyle
Duchene
Home
49.0% (567)
51.7% (201)
Away
52.0% (540)
52.5% (236)
By Period
Coyle
Duchene
P1
49.5%
49.0%
P2
49.4%
57.1%
P3
52.6%
49.2%
OT
46.2%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%