Charlie Coyle vs Mavrik Bourque
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Bourque 46.2% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 70.0%
Defensive zone
Coyle 57.5%
Neutral zone
Coyle 67.4%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 64.5%
64.5%
35.5%
Coyle
Bourque
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Coyle
Bourque
Last 6: Coyle 4-2 Bourque
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Bourque
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Bourque
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
1
Coyle
Bourque
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Bourque
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,898)
46.6% (513)
+2.8%
Power Play
50.0% (794)
26.1% (23)
+23.9%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,100)
42.9% (28)
+0.6%
On power play, Coyle has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bourque shoots right. Coyle is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,777).
Coyle shoots right. Bourque is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (139).
Home / Away
Coyle
Bourque
Home
49.8% (4,865)
47.1% (263)
Away
47.9% (4,927)
44.2% (301)
By Period
Coyle
Bourque
P1
49.5%
42.7%
P2
48.3%
42.8%
P3
48.8%
50.2%
OT
49.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
48.8%
Bourque
48.0%▲
46.5%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 06:19 | Defensive | Mavrik Bourque |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 01:30 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 10:34 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 08:48 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 05:22 | Neutral | Mavrik Bourque |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 2 | 06:24 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |