Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Coyle wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 51.6%
Defensive zone
Coyle 69.7%
Neutral zone
Coyle 56.2%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Coyle
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Coyle
Zibanejad
Last 10: Coyle 4-6 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
3
Coyle
Zibanejad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Coyle
Zibanejad
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (853)
53.3% (807)
-1.0%
Power Play
44.4% (63)
47.6% (42)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (191)
46.3% (147)
-1.8%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Coyle is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (274).
Coyle shoots right. Zibanejad is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (267).
Home / Away
Coyle
Zibanejad
Home
49.0% (567)
49.8% (466)
Away
52.0% (540)
54.0% (530)
By Period
Coyle
Zibanejad
P1
49.5%
52.9%
P2
49.4%
51.2%
P3
52.6%
51.7%
OT
46.2%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 14:30 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 07:04 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 19:01 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 13:27 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 10:13 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 12:13 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 17:46 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 00:53 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 14:22 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |