Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Sturm 53.6% (-4.1%)
Offensive zone
Coyle 52.4%
Defensive zone
Sturm 59.2%
Neutral zone
Sturm 52.6%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Coyle
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (853)
54.6% (271)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (191)
54.4% (90)
-9.9%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Coyle is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Coyle shoots right. Sturm is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (118).
Home / Away
Coyle
Sturm
Home
49.0% (567)
53.0% (168)
Away
52.0% (540)
56.0% (193)
By Period
Coyle
Sturm
P1
49.5%
58.2%
P2
49.4%
53.2%
P3
52.6%
52.3%
OT
46.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%