Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Sundqvist shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Sundqvist 47.6% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sundqvist 54.9%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 59.5%
Neutral zone
Sundqvist 59.3%
Result
Oskar Sundqvist favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Coyle
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Coyle
Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
0
1
Coyle
Sundqvist
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (853)
46.8% (301)
+5.5%
Power Play
44.4% (63)
80.0% (10)
-35.6%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (191)
43.5% (85)
+1.0%
On power play, Sundqvist has a +35.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Coyle is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (274).
Coyle shoots right. Sundqvist is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Coyle
Sundqvist
Home
49.0% (567)
46.0% (189)
Away
52.0% (540)
47.8% (207)
By Period
Coyle
Sundqvist
P1
49.5%
44.7%
P2
49.4%
47.6%
P3
52.6%
48.6%
OT
46.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 16:30 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |