Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.2% vs Krebs 45.1% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krebs 79.3%
Defensive zone
Krebs 76.1%
Neutral zone
Krebs 76.0%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 76.1%
23.9%
76.1%
Coyle
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Coyle
Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
0
2
Coyle
Krebs
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krebs
0
1
Coyle
Krebs
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (612)
43.6% (346)
+8.0%
Power Play
42.6% (47)
25.0% (4)
+17.6%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (146)
53.8% (13)
-7.2%
On power play, Coyle has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Coyle is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (609).
Coyle shoots right. Krebs is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (113).
Home / Away
Coyle
Krebs
Home
47.5% (394)
45.3% (172)
Away
52.8% (411)
42.4% (191)
By Period
Coyle
Krebs
P1
49.6%
45.5%
P2
48.9%
43.6%
P3
52.0%
42.5%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.8%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
50.2%
Krebs
36.0%▼
44.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 04:37 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 14:12 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 05:29 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |