Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 51.3%). Look for Greig on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Greig 51.1% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 62.2%
Defensive zone
Coyle 53.4%
Neutral zone
Coyle 67.9%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Coyle
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Coyle
Greig
Last 9: Coyle 2-7 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Greig
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
1
6
Coyle
Greig
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greig
0
1
Coyle
Greig
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (853)
51.9% (347)
+0.4%
Power Play
44.4% (63)
66.7% (24)
-22.3%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (191)
44.8% (87)
-0.3%
On power play, Greig has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Coyle is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Coyle shoots right. Greig is 58.2% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Coyle
Greig
Home
49.0% (567)
50.4% (254)
Away
52.0% (540)
52.5% (204)
By Period
Coyle
Greig
P1
49.5%
45.9%
P2
49.4%
60.1%
P3
52.6%
49.2%
OT
46.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Greig
58.0%▲
52.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 16:40 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 13:30 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 08:03 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 14:27 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 07:06 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 01:51 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 18:23 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 17:01 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 07:41 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |