Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Kesler 55.9% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 16-15 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 51.2%
Defensive zone
Coyle 50.3%
Neutral zone
Coyle 51.8%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Coyle
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
16
(31 meetings)
15
16
Coyle
Kesler
Last 10: Coyle 4-6 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
9
3
Coyle
Kesler
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
7
Coyle
Kesler
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
5
6
Coyle
Kesler
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,898)
56.4% (8,095)
-7.0%
Power Play
50.0% (794)
60.7% (1,437)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,100)
50.5% (1,908)
-7.0%
On power play, Kesler has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Coyle is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,777).
Coyle shoots right. Kesler is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,497).
Home / Away
Coyle
Kesler
Home
49.8% (4,865)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
47.9% (4,927)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Coyle
Kesler
P1
49.5%
56.5%
P2
48.3%
55.9%
P3
48.8%
56.1%
OT
49.0%
46.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
48.8%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2019 | 2 | 11:32 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 1 | 03:12 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 4, 2018 | 2 | 10:13 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 4, 2018 | 2 | 02:05 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 4, 2018 | 1 | 17:18 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 3 | 14:49 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 3 | 14:35 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 3 | 09:09 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 2 | 17:18 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 2 | 05:11 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 1 | 03:45 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 3 | 17:36 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 3 | 15:44 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 3 | 13:56 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 2 | 03:58 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 2 | 00:39 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 1 | 11:44 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 1 | 03:28 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 20, 2016 | 1 | 12:07 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |