Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on neutral-zone draws (74% H2H, 19 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Strome 44.6% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 30-18 in 48 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 61.3%
Defensive zone
Coyle 85.2%
Neutral zone
Coyle 83.1%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 77.9%
77.9%
22.1%
Coyle
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
18
(48 meetings)
30
18
Coyle
Strome
Last 10: Coyle 6-4 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
5
8
Coyle
Strome
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
11
5
Coyle
Strome
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
14
5
Coyle
Strome
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,898)
44.2% (6,887)
+5.2%
Power Play
50.0% (794)
49.2% (855)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,100)
41.5% (410)
+2.0%
On even strength, Coyle has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Coyle is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,777).
Coyle shoots right. Strome is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,379).
Home / Away
Coyle
Strome
Home
49.8% (4,865)
44.4% (4,077)
Away
47.9% (4,927)
44.8% (4,075)
By Period
Coyle
Strome
P1
49.5%
43.9%
P2
48.3%
45.4%
P3
48.8%
44.4%
OT
49.0%
46.3%
Final 5 min
48.5%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
48.8%
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 04:54 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 05:54 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 26, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 05:14 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 15:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 19:27 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 12:54 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 01:08 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 05:22 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 19:17 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 14:48 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 04:14 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 00:13 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 04:31 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 08:50 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 3 | 01:03 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 2 | 15:26 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 2 | 15:16 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |