Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.7% vs 49.5%). Look for Horcoff on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Horcoff 49.6% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Horcoff leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 52.2%
Defensive zone
Coyle 53.0%
Neutral zone
Coyle 53.7%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Coyle
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Coyle
Horcoff
Last 10: Coyle 3-7 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
2
3
Coyle
Horcoff
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
2
3
Coyle
Horcoff
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Coyle
Horcoff
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,657)
50.6% (3,133)
-1.3%
Power Play
50.0% (778)
51.4% (555)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,055)
43.0% (567)
+0.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Coyle is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (6,791).
Coyle shoots right. Horcoff is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,303).
Home / Away
Coyle
Horcoff
Home
49.7% (4,692)
51.1% (2,199)
Away
47.9% (4,798)
48.0% (2,104)
By Period
Coyle
Horcoff
P1
49.5%
48.2%
P2
48.2%
49.5%
P3
48.6%
50.9%
OT
49.3%
51.9%
Final 5 min
48.1%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.7%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2016 | 3 | 17:21 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 20, 2016 | 2 | 17:06 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 1 | 08:35 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 1 | 08:25 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 3 | 18:33 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 3 | 14:33 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 2 | 07:33 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 1 | 15:57 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 1 | 12:24 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 3 | 03:29 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 15:25 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 12:17 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 11:57 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 1 | 07:11 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |