Charlie Coyle vs Zemgus Girgensons
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Girgensons 46.8% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Girgensons 53.7%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 52.2%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 52.0%
Result
Zemgus Girgensons favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Coyle
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Coyle
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
1
Coyle
Girgensons
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (853)
45.1% (164)
+7.2%
Power Play
44.4% (63)
50.0% (2)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (191)
45.2% (31)
-0.7%
On even strength, Coyle has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Coyle is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Coyle shoots right. Girgensons is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Coyle
Girgensons
Home
49.0% (567)
44.6% (92)
Away
52.0% (540)
45.7% (105)
By Period
Coyle
Girgensons
P1
49.5%
44.2%
P2
49.4%
46.0%
P3
52.6%
45.1%
Final 5 min
49.1%
38.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 08:34 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |