Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +15.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Higgins on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Higgins wins 40.7% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Higgins 44.1% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-15.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 63.5%
36.5%
63.5%
Higgins
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Higgins
Gaustad
Last 6: Higgins 3-3 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Higgins
2
1
Higgins
Gaustad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
2
Higgins
Gaustad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Higgins
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (168)
58.2% (4,334)
-14.7%
Power Play
45.7% (46)
65.4% (188)
-19.7%
Penalty Kill
30.0% (40)
54.8% (1,290)
-24.8%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +24.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Higgins is 40.7% vs left-shot opponents (162).
Higgins shoots left. Gaustad is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,774).
Home / Away
Higgins
Gaustad
Home
41.7% (139)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
41.9% (117)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Higgins
Gaustad
P1
41.0%
58.2%
P2
43.8%
56.4%
P3
41.5%
58.3%
OT
28.6%
66.0%
Final 5 min
37.1%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Higgins
42.0%▬
41.0%
41.8%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2011 | 3 | 19:30 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 10, 2011 | 3 | 08:59 | Neutral | Chris Higgins |
| Feb 10, 2011 | 2 | 12:41 | Defensive | Chris Higgins |
| Feb 10, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 10, 2011 | 1 | 17:49 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 3 | 02:49 | Defensive | Chris Higgins |