Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Brassard 49.1% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Kelly leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Brassard 68.9%
Defensive zone
Kelly 70.9%
Neutral zone
Kelly 53.5%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Kelly
Brassard
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
7
(17 meetings)
10
7
Kelly
Brassard
Last 10: Kelly 6-4 Brassard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
3
Kelly
Brassard
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
5
0
Kelly
Brassard
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Kelly
Brassard
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Brassard
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
48.7% (8,464)
+2.4%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
52.3% (1,260)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
50.3% (179)
-5.6%
On power play, Kelly has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brassard shoots left. Kelly is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,408).
Kelly shoots left. Brassard is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (6,507).
Home / Away
Kelly
Brassard
Home
52.6% (1,965)
50.6% (5,020)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
47.6% (4,901)
By Period
Kelly
Brassard
P1
49.2%
49.0%
P2
49.1%
49.8%
P3
51.9%
48.4%
OT
53.5%
51.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2015 | 2 | 11:14 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 2 | 00:26 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 1 | 04:56 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 3 | 00:34 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 1 | 09:25 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 3 | 01:35 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 2 | 11:30 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 2 | 08:01 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 1 | 18:09 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 1 | 09:42 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 1 | 09:30 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 1 | 05:24 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 2 | 16:07 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 2 | 12:55 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 2 | 10:18 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |