Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Jeffrey 47.8% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jeffrey 62.3%
Defensive zone
Kelly 65.9%
Neutral zone
Kelly 51.9%
Result
Dustin Jeffrey favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Kelly
Jeffrey
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Kelly
Jeffrey
Last 7: Kelly 3-4 Jeffrey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
2
1
Kelly
Jeffrey
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kelly
Jeffrey
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jeffrey
0
2
Kelly
Jeffrey
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Jeffrey
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
47.5% (754)
+3.6%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
37.2% (43)
+23.4%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
55.6% (36)
-10.9%
On power play, Kelly has a +23.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jeffrey shoots left. Kelly is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,408).
Kelly shoots left. Jeffrey is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (552).
Home / Away
Kelly
Jeffrey
Home
52.6% (1,965)
49.0% (390)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
46.4% (455)
By Period
Kelly
Jeffrey
P1
49.2%
46.4%
P2
49.1%
48.1%
P3
51.9%
48.0%
OT
53.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.3%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Jeffrey
60.0%▲
54.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2012 | 3 | 01:32 | Offensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 2 | 05:31 | Neutral | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 1 | 12:35 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 1 | 03:30 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 1 | 00:29 | Defensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 1 | 00:24 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 3 | 19:27 | Neutral | Dustin Jeffrey |