Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kelly wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Eichel shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Eichel 45.2% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 58.1%
Defensive zone
Kelly 79.3%
Neutral zone
Kelly 74.0%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 71.3%
71.3%
28.7%
Kelly
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Kelly
Eichel
Last 6: Kelly 4-2 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
0
Kelly
Eichel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
2
1
Kelly
Eichel
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kelly
Eichel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
44.8% (8,513)
+6.3%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
52.7% (929)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
37.8% (550)
+6.9%
On power play, Kelly has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Kelly is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,370).
Kelly shoots left. Eichel is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (7,079).
Home / Away
Kelly
Eichel
Home
52.6% (1,965)
45.8% (4,954)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
44.5% (5,038)
By Period
Kelly
Eichel
P1
49.2%
45.5%
P2
49.1%
45.8%
P3
51.9%
44.1%
OT
53.5%
44.1%
Final 5 min
50.3%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Eichel
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2017 | 2 | 17:08 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 1 | 14:45 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 1 | 10:35 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 1 | 10:32 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 3 | 16:27 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 3 | 05:30 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |