Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Cullen on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Cullen 53.6% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Cullen leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Kelly 71.5%
Defensive zone
Kelly 72.7%
Neutral zone
Kelly 73.3%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 72.3%
72.3%
27.7%
Kelly
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Kelly
Cullen
Last 10: Kelly 2-8 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
3
5
Kelly
Cullen
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
0
1
Kelly
Cullen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cullen
2
4
Kelly
Cullen
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
54.8% (5,371)
-3.7%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
52.3% (421)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
48.0% (953)
-3.3%
On power play, Kelly has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Kelly is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,408).
Kelly shoots left. Cullen is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,432).
Home / Away
Kelly
Cullen
Home
52.6% (1,965)
55.8% (3,288)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
51.6% (3,488)
By Period
Kelly
Cullen
P1
49.2%
54.7%
P2
49.1%
52.8%
P3
51.9%
53.3%
OT
53.5%
62.7%
Final 5 min
50.3%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2017 | 2 | 05:08 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 1 | 13:26 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 1 | 13:17 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 3 | 02:26 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 2 | 13:40 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 1 | 00:24 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 5, 2016 | 3 | 17:32 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 16, 2014 | OT | 03:00 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 2 | 08:11 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 1 | 17:23 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 3 | 12:08 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 2 | 14:54 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 2 | 10:49 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 1 | 19:30 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 1 | 05:57 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |