Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.1% vs 50.0%). Look for Bonino on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Bonino 50.0% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Kelly 55.4%
Defensive zone
Kelly 56.0%
Neutral zone
Kelly 57.0%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Kelly
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Kelly
Bonino
Last 10: Kelly 3-7 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
4
Kelly
Bonino
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
3
Kelly
Bonino
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
2
Kelly
Bonino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
50.6% (8,315)
+0.5%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
54.1% (972)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
44.6% (1,693)
+0.1%
On power play, Kelly has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Kelly is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,408).
Kelly shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Home / Away
Kelly
Bonino
Home
52.6% (1,965)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Kelly
Bonino
P1
49.2%
50.6%
P2
49.1%
48.5%
P3
51.9%
51.1%
OT
53.5%
45.7%
Final 5 min
50.3%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 02:15 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 01:50 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 2 | 05:20 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 3 | 16:04 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 1 | 07:05 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 5, 2016 | 2 | 04:37 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 3 | 12:29 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 31, 2013 | 3 | 18:08 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 31, 2013 | 3 | 00:53 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 31, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 31, 2013 | 1 | 17:09 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 31, 2013 | 1 | 04:44 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |