Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.1% vs 50.1%). Kelly wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Sharp shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Sharp 50.1% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sharp 83.6%
Defensive zone
Kelly 88.6%
Neutral zone
Kelly 57.8%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Kelly
Sharp
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Kelly
Sharp
Last 6: Kelly 2-4 Sharp
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sharp
0
2
Kelly
Sharp
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
2
0
Kelly
Sharp
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sharp
0
2
Kelly
Sharp
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Sharp
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
50.4% (1,085)
+0.7%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
50.6% (180)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
40.9% (44)
+3.8%
On power play, Kelly has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sharp shoots right. Kelly is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,370).
Kelly shoots left. Sharp is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (947).
Home / Away
Kelly
Sharp
Home
52.6% (1,965)
53.2% (688)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
46.7% (623)
By Period
Kelly
Sharp
P1
49.2%
48.0%
P2
49.1%
49.1%
P3
51.9%
51.7%
OT
53.5%
62.2%
Final 5 min
50.3%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Sharp
60.0%▲
52.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2017 | 1 | 11:53 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Mar 27, 2014 | 2 | 01:41 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 27, 2014 | 1 | 16:01 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 7, 2011 | 2 | 04:08 | Neutral | Patrick Sharp |
| Jan 7, 2011 | 2 | 00:49 | Neutral | Patrick Sharp |
| Jan 7, 2011 | 1 | 18:28 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |