Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Mueller wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mueller 51.4% vs Kastelic 56.5% (-5.0%)
Offensive zone
Mueller 67.4%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 79.6%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 50.1%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Mueller
Kastelic
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mueller
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (388)
57.0% (1,635)
-6.0%
Power Play
81.3% (16)
80.0% (25)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
53.8% (279)
-13.8%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Mueller is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (102).
Mueller shoots right. Kastelic is 58.5% vs right-shot opponents (494).
Home / Away
Mueller
Kastelic
Home
56.2% (219)
58.7% (904)
Away
47.0% (200)
55.2% (1,035)
By Period
Mueller
Kastelic
P1
47.6%
58.6%
P2
57.9%
56.5%
P3
50.0%
55.6%
OT
66.7%
53.8%
Final 5 min
52.2%
59.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mueller
56.0%▲
51.5%
51.8%
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
56.8%