Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Tierney wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Bailey shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 47.9% vs Bailey 45.9% (+5.3%)
Offensive zone
Bailey 74.3%
Defensive zone
Tierney 77.8%
Neutral zone
Bailey 52.4%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Tierney
Bailey
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (193)
41.7% (84)
+4.9%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
28.6% (7)
+38.1%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (40)
60.0% (5)
-12.5%
On power play, Tierney has a +38.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Tierney is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (135).
Tierney shoots left. Bailey is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Tierney
Bailey
Home
47.9% (121)
37.9% (58)
Away
46.1% (115)
47.4% (38)
By Period
Tierney
Bailey
P1
44.1%
47.2%
P2
50.0%
41.7%
P3
46.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.4%
36.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
47.0%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
41.7%