Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Tierney wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Kunin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.1% vs Kunin 46.1% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 70.3%
Defensive zone
Tierney 75.1%
Neutral zone
Tierney 71.4%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 72.8%
72.8%
27.2%
Tierney
Kunin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Tierney
Kunin
Last 8: Tierney 5-3 Kunin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
2
1
Tierney
Kunin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
3
1
Tierney
Kunin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kunin
0
1
Tierney
Kunin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Kunin
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (5,342)
47.0% (1,667)
+2.3%
Power Play
52.3% (342)
46.0% (139)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (857)
40.3% (335)
+6.3%
On penalty kill, Tierney has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kunin shoots right. Tierney is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,404).
Tierney shoots left. Kunin is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,537).
Home / Away
Tierney
Kunin
Home
50.6% (3,270)
45.4% (1,075)
Away
47.7% (3,271)
46.4% (1,066)
By Period
Tierney
Kunin
P1
49.3%
47.7%
P2
47.7%
45.7%
P3
50.5%
44.1%
OT
47.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Kunin
44.0%▼
49.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 05:07 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 04:58 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 08:58 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 2 | 05:13 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 3 | 14:54 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 3 | 09:48 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 2 | 08:35 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |