Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Tierney wins 38.6% vs right-shot opponents — McLeod shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 47.9% vs McLeod 59.6% (-13.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 52.4%
Defensive zone
McLeod 78.6%
Neutral zone
McLeod 68.0%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 63.9%
36.1%
63.9%
Tierney
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Tierney
McLeod
Last 5: Tierney 3-2 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
2
0
Tierney
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Tierney
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tierney
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (193)
61.5% (792)
-14.9%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
65.2% (23)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (40)
55.6% (153)
-8.1%
On even strength, McLeod has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Tierney is 38.6% vs right-shot opponents (101).
Tierney shoots left. McLeod is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (720).
Home / Away
Tierney
McLeod
Home
47.9% (121)
62.0% (460)
Away
46.1% (115)
59.4% (508)
By Period
Tierney
McLeod
P1
44.1%
61.5%
P2
50.0%
63.6%
P3
46.3%
56.2%
Final 5 min
52.4%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
47.0%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 11:41 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 00:28 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 10:44 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 10:37 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 06:44 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |