Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Tierney wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 47.9% vs Backlund 50.8% (-3.9%)
Offensive zone
Backlund 55.9%
Defensive zone
Tierney 55.5%
Neutral zone
Backlund 54.4%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Tierney
Backlund
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (193)
51.9% (1,083)
-5.3%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
51.7% (120)
+15.0%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (40)
44.3% (183)
+3.2%
On power play, Tierney has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Tierney is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (135).
Tierney shoots left. Backlund is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Home / Away
Tierney
Backlund
Home
47.9% (121)
51.9% (673)
Away
46.1% (115)
49.9% (713)
By Period
Tierney
Backlund
P1
44.1%
51.4%
P2
50.0%
50.5%
P3
46.3%
51.4%
Final 5 min
52.4%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
47.0%
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
50.9%