Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Tierney wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.1% vs Strome 44.6% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 18-14 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 79.7%
Defensive zone
Strome 56.1%
Neutral zone
Strome 66.9%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 68.2%
31.8%
68.2%
Tierney
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
18
(32 meetings)
14
18
Tierney
Strome
Last 10: Tierney 6-4 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
9
Tierney
Strome
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
7
1
Tierney
Strome
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
6
8
Tierney
Strome
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (5,342)
44.2% (6,887)
+5.1%
Power Play
52.3% (342)
49.2% (855)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (857)
41.5% (410)
+5.1%
On penalty kill, Tierney has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Tierney is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,404).
Tierney shoots left. Strome is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,773).
Home / Away
Tierney
Strome
Home
50.6% (3,270)
44.4% (4,077)
Away
47.7% (3,271)
44.8% (4,075)
By Period
Tierney
Strome
P1
49.3%
43.9%
P2
47.7%
45.4%
P3
50.5%
44.4%
OT
47.4%
46.3%
Final 5 min
46.7%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2023 | 2 | 07:47 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 22, 2019 | 3 | 08:52 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 22, 2019 | 3 | 04:27 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 22, 2019 | 2 | 16:50 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 22, 2019 | 2 | 13:24 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 22, 2019 | 2 | 12:24 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 22, 2019 | 2 | 07:07 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 22, 2019 | 2 | 03:07 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 2 | 19:01 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 2 | 16:46 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 2 | 12:08 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 2 | 12:00 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 1 | 13:51 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 1 | 13:43 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 1 | 09:38 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 02:51 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 1 | 06:22 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 1 | 06:04 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 1 | 03:48 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 3, 2019 | 2 | 03:51 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |