Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.7% vs 49.4%). Look for Tierney on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.8% vs Kuraly 49.5% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 72.4%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 67.7%
Neutral zone
Tierney 56.3%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 62.4%
62.4%
37.6%
Tierney
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Tierney
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
3
0
Tierney
Kuraly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Tierney
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (454)
52.3% (982)
-1.9%
Power Play
48.3% (58)
41.9% (43)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
39.2% (245)
-2.4%
On power play, Tierney has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Tierney is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (315).
Tierney shoots left. Kuraly is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (859).
Home / Away
Tierney
Kuraly
Home
53.3% (289)
50.3% (680)
Away
45.5% (242)
48.5% (590)
By Period
Tierney
Kuraly
P1
50.9%
49.5%
P2
46.7%
49.6%
P3
52.1%
49.0%
Final 5 min
44.6%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.7%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2022 | 3 | 16:50 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 1 | 09:15 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 1 | 09:10 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 23, 2022 | 1 | 13:44 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |