Scouting Report
Chris Wagner holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Wagner on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Wagner wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Eichel shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 49.0% vs Eichel 45.2% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 62.2%
Defensive zone
Wagner 84.5%
Neutral zone
Wagner 62.8%
Result
Chris Wagner favored at 69.5%
69.5%
30.5%
Wagner
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Wagner
Eichel
Last 6: Wagner 5-1 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
1
0
Wagner
Eichel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
2
1
Wagner
Eichel
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wagner
2
0
Wagner
Eichel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (1,243)
44.8% (8,513)
+6.0%
Power Play
40.0% (20)
52.7% (929)
-12.7%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (307)
37.8% (550)
+4.2%
On power play, Eichel has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Wagner is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (408).
Wagner shoots right. Eichel is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,913).
Home / Away
Wagner
Eichel
Home
49.8% (817)
45.8% (4,954)
Away
47.9% (753)
44.5% (5,038)
By Period
Wagner
Eichel
P1
48.6%
45.5%
P2
48.6%
45.8%
P3
49.5%
44.1%
OT
50.0%
44.1%
Final 5 min
49.2%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Eichel
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2019 | 2 | 16:37 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 2 | 02:15 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 3 | 03:17 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 1 | 19:38 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 3 | 08:56 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Feb 14, 2016 | 1 | 17:14 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |