Chris Wagner vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Wagner on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Wagner wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 49.0% vs Pageau 54.8% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Wagner leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 72.6%
Defensive zone
Pageau 64.1%
Neutral zone
Pageau 70.7%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 68.9%
31.1%
68.9%
Wagner
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
8
(17 meetings)
9
8
Wagner
Pageau
Last 10: Wagner 2-8 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
3
Wagner
Pageau
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Wagner
Pageau
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wagner
4
2
Wagner
Pageau
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (1,243)
55.8% (9,525)
-5.0%
Power Play
40.0% (20)
57.0% (1,008)
-17.0%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (307)
49.6% (2,077)
-7.6%
On power play, Pageau has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Wagner is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (408).
Wagner shoots right. Pageau is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,739).
Home / Away
Wagner
Pageau
Home
49.8% (817)
56.3% (6,267)
Away
47.9% (753)
53.4% (6,343)
By Period
Wagner
Pageau
P1
48.6%
54.7%
P2
48.6%
56.3%
P3
49.5%
53.5%
OT
50.0%
54.4%
Final 5 min
49.2%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2021 | 3 | 17:11 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 00:16 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 2 | 18:42 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 2 | 09:30 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 1 | 03:06 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 1 | 02:51 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 6, 2017 | 3 | 16:17 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 6, 2017 | 3 | 12:04 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 6, 2017 | 3 | 03:20 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 6, 2017 | 2 | 19:41 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 6, 2017 | 2 | 09:33 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Dec 6, 2017 | 2 | 02:37 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Dec 6, 2017 | 1 | 12:15 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 2 | 06:32 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 3 | 12:26 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 2 | 04:52 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 1 | 10:07 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |