Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 49.0% vs Toews 57.8% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 59.1%
Defensive zone
Wagner 86.0%
Neutral zone
Wagner 67.8%
Result
Chris Wagner favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Wagner
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Wagner
Toews
Last 9: Wagner 3-6 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
4
Wagner
Toews
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
1
0
Wagner
Toews
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
2
Wagner
Toews
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (1,243)
57.1% (12,906)
-6.3%
Power Play
40.0% (20)
63.2% (3,220)
-23.2%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (307)
53.6% (1,808)
-11.6%
On power play, Toews has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Wagner is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Wagner shoots right. Toews is 59.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,433).
Home / Away
Wagner
Toews
Home
49.8% (817)
59.6% (9,086)
Away
47.9% (753)
56.1% (8,879)
By Period
Wagner
Toews
P1
48.6%
58.7%
P2
48.6%
57.7%
P3
49.5%
57.2%
OT
50.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
49.2%
58.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Toews
52.0%▼
58.0%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2019 | 1 | 18:41 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 27, 2017 | 3 | 04:44 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 27, 2017 | 2 | 13:53 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 27, 2017 | 2 | 02:16 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 27, 2017 | 1 | 08:57 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 27, 2017 | 1 | 03:14 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 2 | 03:11 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Oct 26, 2015 | 1 | 06:37 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 26, 2015 | 1 | 05:27 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |