Scouting Report
Chris Wagner holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Wagner wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 53.1% vs Hayes 56.3% (+1.1%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 58.1%
Defensive zone
Hayes 53.9%
Neutral zone
Hayes 58.2%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Wagner
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (44)
56.6% (724)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (18)
65.7% (35)
-15.7%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Wagner is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (48).
Wagner shoots right. Hayes is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Wagner
Hayes
Home
63.9% (36)
58.0% (405)
Away
50.0% (26)
56.1% (433)
By Period
Wagner
Hayes
P1
66.7%
54.7%
P2
37.5%
55.7%
P3
64.0%
60.2%
Final 5 min
63.2%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
58.1%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
57.0%