Scouting Report
Chris Wagner holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 49.0% vs Komarov 47.6% (+1.6%)
Offensive zone
Komarov 56.8%
Defensive zone
Wagner 57.3%
Neutral zone
Komarov 53.4%
Result
Leo Komarov favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Wagner
Komarov
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Komarov
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (1,243)
48.6% (695)
+2.2%
Power Play
40.0% (20)
37.5% (16)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (307)
45.6% (417)
-3.6%
On penalty kill, Komarov has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Komarov shoots left. Wagner is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Wagner shoots right. Komarov is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (435).
Home / Away
Wagner
Komarov
Home
49.8% (817)
49.2% (537)
Away
47.9% (753)
45.7% (591)
By Period
Wagner
Komarov
P1
48.6%
47.6%
P2
48.6%
47.3%
P3
49.5%
47.5%
OT
50.0%
41.2%
Final 5 min
49.2%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
47.3%