Scouting Report
Mike Fisher holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Fisher on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Wagner wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Fisher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 49.0% vs Fisher 51.5% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fisher 53.6%
Defensive zone
Wagner 83.3%
Neutral zone
Wagner 65.8%
Result
Chris Wagner favored at 71.4%
71.4%
28.6%
Wagner
Fisher
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Wagner
Fisher
Last 9: Wagner 3-6 Fisher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
1
0
Wagner
Fisher
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fisher
1
3
Wagner
Fisher
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fisher
1
3
Wagner
Fisher
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Fisher
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (1,243)
51.4% (6,100)
-0.6%
Power Play
40.0% (20)
53.8% (1,126)
-13.8%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (307)
48.8% (781)
-6.8%
On power play, Fisher has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fisher shoots right. Wagner is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (408).
Wagner shoots right. Fisher is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,492).
Home / Away
Wagner
Fisher
Home
49.8% (817)
52.4% (4,113)
Away
47.9% (753)
50.6% (3,922)
By Period
Wagner
Fisher
P1
48.6%
49.6%
P2
48.6%
52.8%
P3
49.5%
52.2%
OT
50.0%
49.6%
Final 5 min
49.2%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2017 | 3 | 13:12 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 3 | 10:22 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Oct 26, 2016 | 3 | 15:57 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Oct 26, 2016 | 3 | 09:25 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Oct 26, 2016 | 2 | 19:13 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Oct 26, 2016 | 2 | 15:04 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Oct 26, 2016 | 2 | 12:12 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Oct 26, 2016 | 2 | 09:30 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Oct 26, 2016 | 1 | 07:43 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |