Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 49.0% vs Monahan 51.2% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 77.4%
Defensive zone
Wagner 82.8%
Neutral zone
Wagner 50.0%
Result
Chris Wagner favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Wagner
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Wagner
Monahan
Last 10: Wagner 5-5 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
5
Wagner
Monahan
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
5
0
Wagner
Monahan
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Wagner
Monahan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (1,243)
51.1% (11,407)
-0.3%
Power Play
40.0% (20)
53.6% (2,582)
-13.6%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (307)
45.9% (772)
-3.9%
On power play, Monahan has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Wagner is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Wagner shoots right. Monahan is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,426).
Home / Away
Wagner
Monahan
Home
49.8% (817)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
47.9% (753)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Wagner
Monahan
P1
48.6%
51.0%
P2
48.6%
51.7%
P3
49.5%
51.0%
OT
50.0%
53.5%
Final 5 min
49.2%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 09:28 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 04:57 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 3 | 15:20 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 2 | 01:24 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 1 | 09:33 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 1 | 09:24 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 1 | 09:18 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 2 | 01:44 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 15:40 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 9, 2017 | 2 | 15:27 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Oct 9, 2017 | 1 | 15:09 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 14:00 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 3 | 04:29 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 3 | 02:04 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |