Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Wagner wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 47.1% vs Karlsson 57.1% (-13.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 67.4%
Defensive zone
Wagner 72.6%
Neutral zone
Wagner 52.4%
Result
Chris Wagner favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Wagner
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Wagner
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Wagner
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (77)
58.6% (597)
-17.0%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (31)
51.9% (52)
-0.3%
On even strength, Karlsson has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Wagner is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (91).
Wagner shoots right. Karlsson is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (239).
Home / Away
Wagner
Karlsson
Home
46.3% (54)
59.6% (344)
Away
42.6% (54)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Wagner
Karlsson
P1
48.6%
53.1%
P2
55.9%
62.1%
P3
30.8%
60.1%
Final 5 min
40.0%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
44.4%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%