Scouting Report
Zack Ostapchuk holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Wagner wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Ostapchuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 47.1% vs Ostapchuk 49.0% (-4.2%)
Offensive zone
Ostapchuk 65.8%
Defensive zone
Wagner 67.0%
Neutral zone
Ostapchuk 53.9%
Result
Zack Ostapchuk favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Wagner
Ostapchuk
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (77)
48.3% (271)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (31)
71.4% (7)
-19.8%
On penalty kill, Ostapchuk has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Wagner is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (91).
Wagner shoots right. Ostapchuk is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (95).
Home / Away
Wagner
Ostapchuk
Home
46.3% (54)
49.3% (140)
Away
42.6% (54)
47.9% (142)
By Period
Wagner
Ostapchuk
P1
48.6%
49.1%
P2
55.9%
48.9%
P3
30.8%
47.5%
Final 5 min
40.0%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
44.4%
Ostapchuk
52.0%▲
50.5%
48.6%