Christian Dvorak vs Connor Bedard
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.3% vs Bedard 46.5% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bedard 51.9%
Defensive zone
Bedard 51.0%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 50.3%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Dvorak
Bedard
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Dvorak
Bedard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Bedard
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bedard
0
1
Dvorak
Bedard
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (804)
44.2% (505)
+10.0%
Power Play
54.2% (131)
66.7% (36)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (84)
53.8% (13)
-7.4%
On power play, Bedard has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Dvorak is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Dvorak shoots left. Bedard is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Bedard
Home
53.9% (497)
50.7% (223)
Away
53.3% (522)
42.6% (331)
By Period
Dvorak
Bedard
P1
54.6%
40.2%
P2
53.2%
49.2%
P3
54.3%
47.2%
OT
34.8%
57.1%
Final 5 min
46.1%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Bedard
44.0%▬
45.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 07:03 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 00:48 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |