Christian Dvorak vs Connor McDavid

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Christian Dvorak holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Dvorak wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Dvorak 53.1% vs McDavid 47.8% (+5.3%)
H2H factor Dvorak leads 19-15 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone Dvorak 59.2%
Defensive zone Dvorak 78.6%
Neutral zone Dvorak 72.4%
Result Christian Dvorak favored at 67.5%
67.5%
32.5%
Dvorak McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
19 - 15 (34 meetings)
19
15
Dvorak McDavid
Last 10: Dvorak 9-1 McDavid

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
9
7
Dvorak McDavid
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
6
1
Dvorak McDavid
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
4
7
Dvorak McDavid
11 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Dvorak
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (6,785)
47.7% (8,394)
+5.4%
Power Play
55.7% (1,012)
52.1% (374)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (889)
43.8% (281)
+7.0%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +7.0% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Dvorak is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,588).
Dvorak shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,929).
Home / Away
Dvorak
McDavid
Home
54.7% (4,151)
49.3% (4,582)
Away
51.7% (4,535)
46.2% (4,467)
By Period
Dvorak
McDavid
P1
54.5%
46.5%
P2
51.9%
48.7%
P3
53.1%
48.3%
OT
56.5%
42.2%
Final 5 min
51.5%
50.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
60.0%
53.5%
53.1%
McDavid
52.0%
51.5%
47.8%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 3, 2026 3 03:39 Defensive Christian Dvorak
Jan 3, 2026 2 19:08 Offensive Christian Dvorak
Jan 3, 2026 2 07:29 Offensive Christian Dvorak
Jan 3, 2026 2 07:15 Offensive Christian Dvorak
Jan 3, 2026 2 03:59 Offensive Christian Dvorak
Jan 3, 2026 2 03:56 Offensive Christian Dvorak
Jan 3, 2026 1 10:47 Defensive Christian Dvorak
Jan 3, 2026 1 10:31 Neutral Connor McDavid
Jan 3, 2026 1 03:20 Defensive Christian Dvorak
Nov 12, 2025 2 16:24 Offensive Christian Dvorak
Mar 6, 2025 2 17:38 Offensive Connor McDavid
Mar 6, 2025 2 03:07 Defensive Connor McDavid
Mar 6, 2025 2 00:00 Neutral Connor McDavid
Mar 6, 2025 1 07:46 Offensive Connor McDavid
Feb 12, 2023 1 01:27 Offensive Christian Dvorak
Dec 3, 2022 2 07:38 Offensive Connor McDavid
Feb 4, 2020 2 04:10 Offensive Connor McDavid
Feb 4, 2020 2 00:00 Neutral Connor McDavid
Feb 4, 2020 1 12:10 Neutral Connor McDavid
Feb 4, 2020 1 05:46 Offensive Christian Dvorak