Christian Dvorak vs Connor McDavid
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Dvorak wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.1% vs McDavid 47.8% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 19-15 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Dvorak 59.2%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 78.6%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 72.4%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 67.5%
67.5%
32.5%
Dvorak
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
15
(34 meetings)
19
15
Dvorak
McDavid
Last 10: Dvorak 9-1 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
9
7
Dvorak
McDavid
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
6
1
Dvorak
McDavid
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
4
7
Dvorak
McDavid
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (6,785)
47.7% (8,394)
+5.4%
Power Play
55.7% (1,012)
52.1% (374)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (889)
43.8% (281)
+7.0%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Dvorak is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,588).
Dvorak shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,929).
Home / Away
Dvorak
McDavid
Home
54.7% (4,151)
49.3% (4,582)
Away
51.7% (4,535)
46.2% (4,467)
By Period
Dvorak
McDavid
P1
54.5%
46.5%
P2
51.9%
48.7%
P3
53.1%
48.3%
OT
56.5%
42.2%
Final 5 min
51.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 03:39 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 19:08 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 07:29 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 07:15 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 03:59 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 03:56 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 10:47 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 10:31 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 03:20 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2 | 16:24 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 17:38 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 03:07 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 07:46 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 1 | 01:27 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 07:38 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 04:10 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 12:10 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 05:46 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |