Christian Dvorak vs Dawson Mercer
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.3% vs Mercer 41.9% (+14.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 84.6%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 94.4%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 87.1%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 89.5%
89.5%
10.5%
Dvorak
Mercer
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Dvorak
Mercer
Last 5: Dvorak 4-1 Mercer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mercer
0
1
Dvorak
Mercer
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
0
Dvorak
Mercer
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
0
Dvorak
Mercer
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Mercer
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (804)
38.8% (263)
+15.4%
Power Play
54.2% (131)
35.3% (17)
+18.9%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (84)
54.5% (11)
-8.1%
On power play, Dvorak has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mercer shoots right. Dvorak is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Dvorak shoots left. Mercer is 36.3% vs left-shot opponents (190).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Mercer
Home
53.9% (497)
35.2% (145)
Away
53.3% (522)
43.2% (146)
By Period
Dvorak
Mercer
P1
54.6%
32.7%
P2
53.2%
42.7%
P3
54.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
46.1%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:53 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 09:42 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 03:37 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 03:21 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 00:32 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |