Christian Dvorak vs Dawson Mercer
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Dvorak wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Mercer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.1% vs Mercer 39.9% (+13.8%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Dvorak 70.0%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 92.8%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 86.3%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 82.6%
82.6%
17.4%
Dvorak
Mercer
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Dvorak
Mercer
Last 10: Dvorak 8-2 Mercer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mercer
0
5
Dvorak
Mercer
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
3
1
Dvorak
Mercer
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
6
0
Dvorak
Mercer
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Mercer
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (6,785)
39.1% (1,412)
+14.0%
Power Play
55.7% (1,012)
41.1% (90)
+14.6%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (889)
41.3% (46)
+9.5%
On power play, Dvorak has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mercer shoots right. Dvorak is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,096).
Dvorak shoots left. Mercer is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,099).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Mercer
Home
54.7% (4,151)
40.1% (756)
Away
51.7% (4,535)
38.5% (792)
By Period
Dvorak
Mercer
P1
54.5%
38.2%
P2
51.9%
39.2%
P3
53.1%
41.2%
OT
56.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:53 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 09:42 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 03:37 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 03:21 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 00:32 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 17:58 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 25, 2025 | OT | 01:51 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 25, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 18:21 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 18:10 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 14:11 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 10:40 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 09:28 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 1 | 13:52 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 1 | 11:11 | Defensive | Dawson Mercer |