Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Dvorak wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Strome shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.3% vs Strome 58.3% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 51.1%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 84.4%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 65.0%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
Dvorak
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
9
(15 meetings)
6
9
Dvorak
Strome
Last 10: Dvorak 4-6 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
8
Dvorak
Strome
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
3
1
Dvorak
Strome
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (804)
56.4% (890)
-2.2%
Power Play
54.2% (131)
66.9% (311)
-12.7%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (84)
41.7% (12)
+4.7%
On power play, Strome has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots left. Dvorak is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (660).
Dvorak shoots left. Strome is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (822).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Strome
Home
53.9% (497)
55.7% (627)
Away
53.3% (522)
62.5% (586)
By Period
Dvorak
Strome
P1
54.6%
61.7%
P2
53.2%
55.7%
P3
54.3%
60.1%
OT
34.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Strome
64.0%▲
56.5%
58.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | 3 | 18:37 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 3 | 15:26 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 3 | 12:54 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 3 | 08:46 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 1 | 14:54 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 1 | 07:48 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 1 | 07:33 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 19:22 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 02:36 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 18:36 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 18:08 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 16:50 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 16:27 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 10:56 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 06:42 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |