Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings). Dvorak wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.1% vs Staal 50.6% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 14-13 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 53.9%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 69.7%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 56.0%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Dvorak
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
13
(27 meetings)
14
13
Dvorak
Staal
Last 10: Dvorak 6-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
9
3
Dvorak
Staal
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
4
Dvorak
Staal
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
6
Dvorak
Staal
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (6,785)
50.5% (10,347)
+2.6%
Power Play
55.7% (1,012)
53.5% (2,023)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (889)
44.2% (781)
+6.6%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Dvorak is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,588).
Dvorak shoots left. Staal is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (8,336).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Staal
Home
54.7% (4,151)
52.6% (6,558)
Away
51.7% (4,535)
48.6% (6,664)
By Period
Dvorak
Staal
P1
54.5%
50.0%
P2
51.9%
51.1%
P3
53.1%
50.4%
OT
56.5%
55.2%
Final 5 min
51.5%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 18:01 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 05:44 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 18:46 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 13:51 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 13:02 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 12:53 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 16:00 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 13:44 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 05:34 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 2 | 15:34 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 2 | 03:25 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 2 | 18:48 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 3 | 19:18 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 1 | 19:38 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 1 | 08:50 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 3 | 13:57 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 1 | 10:25 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 3 | 14:55 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 3 | 14:48 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 2 | 05:27 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |