Christian Dvorak vs Justin Dowling
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorak wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Dowling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.1% vs Dowling 48.9% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 60.6%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 70.3%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 62.9%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Dvorak
Dowling
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Dvorak
Dowling
Last 7: Dvorak 4-3 Dowling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
3
0
Dvorak
Dowling
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowling
0
1
Dvorak
Dowling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowling
1
2
Dvorak
Dowling
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Dowling
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (6,785)
49.4% (652)
+3.7%
Power Play
55.7% (1,012)
40.6% (32)
+15.1%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (889)
33.3% (9)
+17.5%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowling shoots left. Dvorak is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,588).
Dvorak shoots left. Dowling is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (455).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Dowling
Home
54.7% (4,151)
48.2% (301)
Away
51.7% (4,535)
49.2% (392)
By Period
Dvorak
Dowling
P1
54.5%
47.6%
P2
51.9%
50.4%
P3
53.1%
48.3%
Final 5 min
51.5%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Dowling
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 01:44 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 17:11 | Defensive | Justin Dowling |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 17:05 | Neutral | Justin Dowling |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 19:06 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 19:00 | Neutral | Justin Dowling |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 3 | 06:42 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 15:17 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |