Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +17.8% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.3% vs Hayes 42.7% (+17.8%)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 50.7%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 64.1%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 52.1%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Dvorak
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (804)
31.9% (91)
+22.3%
Power Play
54.2% (131)
64.3% (14)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (84)
0.0% (1)
+46.4%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +46.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Dvorak is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (660).
Dvorak shoots left. Hayes is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Hayes
Home
53.9% (497)
30.6% (49)
Away
53.3% (522)
40.4% (57)
By Period
Dvorak
Hayes
P1
54.6%
22.9%
P2
53.2%
40.0%
P3
54.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
46.1%
30.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%