Christian Dvorak vs Kevin Stenlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.3% vs Stenlund 54.2% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Dvorak 78.4%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 78.7%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 53.6%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Dvorak
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
2
(12 meetings)
10
2
Dvorak
Stenlund
Last 10: Dvorak 8-2 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
4
0
Dvorak
Stenlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
1
Dvorak
Stenlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
4
1
Dvorak
Stenlund
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (804)
56.2% (650)
-2.0%
Power Play
54.2% (131)
53.2% (47)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (84)
51.6% (312)
-5.2%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Dvorak is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Dvorak shoots left. Stenlund is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (688).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Stenlund
Home
53.9% (497)
56.9% (483)
Away
53.3% (522)
52.5% (526)
By Period
Dvorak
Stenlund
P1
54.6%
54.2%
P2
53.2%
53.2%
P3
54.3%
56.9%
OT
34.8%
42.1%
Final 5 min
46.1%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 06:48 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 09:52 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 09:42 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 21, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 19:52 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 11:00 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 09:35 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 00:14 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 16:15 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 05:26 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |